Kerry losing California? - Dallas Dance Music - Dallas nightlife, music, tickets, and more

Dionysos · 07-15-04, 01:31 PM

I found it interesting that Kerry's lead in California is no longer dead to rights. The last poll I saw had Kerry with an 8% lead over Bush, which is considerably less than previous democratic candidates in presidential elections(Reagan notwithstanding). Back on July 11th, he had a 14% lead in the state. Do you think this is a reflection of California shifting to the right, or has Kerry done something that has turned Californians off to him?

(Mind you I haven't heard of him doing anything to piss off Californians inparticular, I'm just wondering aloud.)

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

States that are "Weak Kerry" states: (5-9%)
Wisconsin 9% 10 votes
Washington 9% 11 votes
New Hampshire 9% 4 votes
California 8% 55 votes
Pennsylvania 7% 21 votes
New Mexico 7% 5 votes
Michigan 6% 17 votes
Minnesota 5% 10 votes

Ryan · 07-15-04, 01:53 PM

California is definitely shifting to the right to some degree following all of the failed politics of the lunatic left-wingers out there. It was only a matter of time until those whackos started driving people away from the far-left. That being said, 8% is still a very solid lead for Kerry and I have no doubt he will take the state.

Ryan · 07-15-04, 01:55 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Dionysos
States that are "Weak Kerry" states: (5-9%)
Wisconsin 9% 10 votes
Washington 9% 11 votes
New Hampshire 9% 4 votes
California 8% 55 votes
Pennsylvania 7% 21 votes
New Mexico 7% 5 votes
Michigan 6% 17 votes
Minnesota 5% 10 votes

Man, if those numbers are right, Bush has got to be shitting himself. If Kerry take Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan, Dubya is F-U-C-K-E-D.

07-15-04, 02:16 PM

I'm not inclined to think Kerry will lose CA. However, the right in CA has felt abandoned forever and would like him to at least present a challenge to Kerry.

Ryan · 07-15-04, 02:48 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by xiannaix
I'm not inclined to think Kerry will lose CA. However, the right in CA has felt abandoned forever and would like him to at least present a challenge to Kerry.

I wonder what that feels like to be in a state where your views are almost completely unrepresented and your vote never counts for shit because of the electoral system. Hmm...

07-15-04, 03:07 PM

A 322-205 lead is going to hard to turn around, especially looking at the states Kerry has decent leads in. Bush is going to have a difficult time winning if his strong leads are in states like Wyoming and Alaska.

I love how Bush and Kerry are exactly tied in Florida... :P

Ryan · 07-15-04, 03:10 PM

Kerry is ahead in every large state other than Texas. This is not good news for Bush.

MysteryMeat · 07-15-04, 03:21 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Ryan
I wonder what that feels like to be in a state where your views are almost completely unrepresented and your vote never counts for shit because of the electoral system. Hmm...

You rock for that

07-15-04, 03:47 PM

If you look at the history on that site, May 24th had Bush leading 281-257, then the very next day he was losing 320-218. The fluctuations on there are massive.

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07-15-04, 01:53 PM	#2 (permalink)
Ryan Join Date: Aug 2002 Location: Austin, TX Posts: 3,783	California is definitely shifting to the right to some degree following all of the failed politics of the lunatic left-wingers out there. It was only a matter of time until those whackos started driving people away from the far-left. That being said, 8% is still a very solid lead for Kerry and I have no doubt he will take the state.

07-15-04, 02:16 PM	#4 (permalink)
xiannaix Guest Posts: n/a	I'm not inclined to think Kerry will lose CA. However, the right in CA has felt abandoned forever and would like him to at least present a challenge to Kerry.

07-15-04, 03:07 PM	#6 (permalink)
zen2k Guest Posts: n/a	A 322-205 lead is going to hard to turn around, especially looking at the states Kerry has decent leads in. Bush is going to have a difficult time winning if his strong leads are in states like Wyoming and Alaska. I love how Bush and Kerry are exactly tied in Florida... :P

07-15-04, 03:10 PM	#7 (permalink)
Ryan Join Date: Aug 2002 Location: Austin, TX Posts: 3,783	Kerry is ahead in every large state other than Texas. This is not good news for Bush.

07-15-04, 03:47 PM	#9 (permalink)
zen2k Guest Posts: n/a	If you look at the history on that site, May 24th had Bush leading 281-257, then the very next day he was losing 320-218. The fluctuations on there are massive.