More Newsmax Fun: Kerry Surging in Iowa

[Ryan]

...Up 11 points among votes already cast. Is it possible that the polls and politicians seriously under-estimated the opposition to Bush, or is this simply a Newsmax tactic to try and get Bush voters motivated? I ask honestly because down here, you'd think Kerry was going to win 98% of the popular vote. I really can't gauge anything from what I see in Austin. Anyway, this is the fourth poll of votes already cast I've seen and all four had Kerry up FAR more than the polls have predicted.

http://www.newsmax.com/archives/arti...1/182514.shtml

[Adam D]

Originally Posted by Ryan

...Up 11 points among votes already cast. Is it possible that the polls and politicians seriously under-estimated the opposition to Bush, or is this simply a Newsmax tactic to try and get Bush voters motivated? I ask honestly because down here, you'd think Kerry was going to win 98% of the popular vote. I really can't gauge anything from what I see in Austin. Anyway, this is the fourth poll of votes already cast I've seen and all four had Kerry up FAR more than the polls have predicted.

http://www.newsmax.com/archives/arti...1/182514.shtml

Austin is a very liberal city, so it's not a very good indicator of the rest of the country. Kerry will probably pull most of the big cities across the country, but I think Bush has a very strong hold on the rural areas which comprises a substantial voting bloc, especially in the midwest, south and west (except the coast).

But I do think that Kerry has been making a strong showing the past few weeks and no doubt it has benefited him greatly in the polls. But ultimately, it's just one poll that matters.

[DJPePe]

Originally Posted by Adam D

Austin is a very liberal city, so it's not a very good indicator of the rest of the country. Kerry will probably pull most of the big cities across the country, but I think Bush has a very strong hold on the rural areas which comprises a substantial voting bloc, especially in the midwest, south and west (except the coast).

Austin is liberal? You got to be kidding me? 90% of the people I've met from Austin have all been staunchly conservative. Of course there are always exceptions, but this is a Texas city, and I find it hard to believe that it is fairly liberal.

[Ryan]

Originally Posted by DJPePe

Austin is liberal? You got to be kidding me? 90% of the people I've met from Austin have all been staunchly conservative. Of course there are always exceptions, but this is a Texas city, and I find it hard to believe that it is fairly liberal.

Central, East, and South Austin are staunchly liberal. The city as a whole has many more registered Democrats than Republicans. The Northern suburbs are like little slices of Dallas/Houston/San Antonio - conservative, self-centered, and obnoxious.