Kerry leads Bush in new poll - Dallas Dance Music - Dallas nightlife, music, tickets, and more

The Jesus · 02-02-04, 04:17 PM

http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/...rez/index.html

ATLANTA, Georgia (CNN) -- Sen. John Kerry, the front-runner among Democrats vying for their party's presidential nomination, leads President Bush in a head-to-head matchup, according to a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll released Monday.

And Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina and retired Gen. Wesley Clark, two other Democrats in the field, come within a few points of beating Bush, according to the hypothetical match-ups in the poll, which also found a decline in Bush's approval numbers.

The poll, based on interviews with 1,001 adult Americans, including 562 likely voters, was conducted in the days after the New Hampshire primary.

The poll underscores both Kerry's momentum after his wins in New Hampshire and Iowa, and increased favorability among Democrats in general as they dominate political news with their primaries and steady criticism of Bush.

The general election is slightly more than nine months away and Bush has yet to launch his campaign in earnest, meaning the poll numbers are all but certain to shift.

When the 562 likely voters were asked for their choice from a Bush v. Kerry race, 53 percent of those picked Kerry, and 46 percent favored Bush.

When that same group was asked to pick between Edwards and Bush, the numbers were 49 percent for Bush and 48 percent for Edwards. With a Bush/Clark face-off, Bush was favored by 50 percent of those surveyed and Clark, 47 percent.

Howard Dean, the onetime front-runner in the Democratic field, had a poorer showing against Bush, 45 percent to 52 percent for the incumbent.

The question of choice for president among likely voters had a sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The margin or error was different for other questions, as some questions were posed to likely voters, others to just Democrats and others to all adults surveyed.

Kerry was the overwhelming choice of registered Democrats for the presidential nomination. Support for Kerry as the Democratic nominee stood at 49 percent, compared to 14 percent for Dean and 13 percent for Edwards. The other Democratic candidates were in the single digits.

The poll showed Bush's job approval rating at 49 percent among all the adults surveyed, the first time since he became president that his job approval has dipped below 50 percent. A month ago his rating was at 60 percent, as he enjoyed a spike in approval after the capture of Saddam Hussein.

A majority of those polled now say they disapprove of Bush's handing of the economy, foreign affairs, the situation in Iraq and health care. The poll also showed the nation evenly divided -- 49 percent to 49 percent -- on the question of whether it was worth going to war in Iraq, marking the first time approval of the war has dropped below 50 percent.

However, a majority of those polled -- 54 percent -- said they do not believe Bush deliberately misled the country on whether Iraq had weapons of mass destruction, while 43 percent said they believe there was deception.

Despite the apparent rising fortunes of Democrats, the poll showed Bush enjoyed advantages over his rivals in several areas.

For example Bush was seen as a stronger leader than Kerry -- 53 percent to 39 percent --and, despite Kerry's military service in Vietnam, more patriotic than the senator from Massachusetts, 49 percent to 34 percent.

And,on the question of Iraq, more Americans trusted Bush than Kerry, 50 percent to 44 percent.

Ryan · 02-02-04, 04:31 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Zach Hale
[url]And Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina and retired Gen. Wesley Clark, two other Democrats in the field, come within a few points of beating Bush, according to the hypothetical match-ups in the poll, which also found a decline in Bush's approval numbers.

I love it. It's certainly not time to celebrate, but I feel a lot more comfortable about November than I did a couple of months ago. I knew someone as stupid as Bush could not fool the public for too long. The truth of what an incompetent leader he is has finally begun to reveal itself and I'm glad to see that some Americans aren't buying this sorry act any more. Never in my life did I think I'd be so excited about the thought of a Democrat running the country. Then along cam Bush...

Adam D · 02-02-04, 04:33 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Ryan
I love it. It's certainly not time to celebrate, but I feel a lot more comfortable about November than I did a couple of months ago. I knew someone as stupid as Bush could not fool the public for too long. The truth of what an incompetent leader he is has finally begun to reveal itself and I'm glad to see that some Americans aren't buying this sorry act any more. Never in my life did I think I'd be so excited about the thought of a Democrat running the country. Then along cam Bush...

I'm pinching my nipples in delight.

bfp · 02-02-04, 04:48 PM

Statistics = blah blah. 1,001 people form New Hampshire were interviewed.

A given series of numbers will always represent a changing assortment of people.

Adam D · 02-02-04, 04:53 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by bfp
Statistics = blah blah. 1,001 people form New Hampshire were interviewed.

A given series of numbers will always represent a changing assortment of people.

Having no political science, economics, or statistics education, I find your positions without qualification.

bfp · 02-02-04, 04:57 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Adam D
Having no political science, economics, or statistics education, I find your positions without qualification.

You're obviously talking to someone else.

Adam D · 02-02-04, 04:58 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by bfp
You're obviously talking to someone else.

Nope, I'm talking to you.

bfp · 02-02-04, 05:02 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Adam D
Nope, I'm talking to you.

Trust me, no you're not.

Adam D · 02-02-04, 05:06 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by bfp
Trust me, no you're not.

I am. You've admitted that you have no economics education, and with the way you talk I doubt any qualifications on political science or statistics.

USAcommitteeX · 02-02-04, 05:23 PM

One poll shows Bush in the lead and you dismiss it, but another finds Bush trailing Kerry and your like "woo hoo!"

bfp · 02-02-04, 05:25 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Adam D
I am. You've admitted that you have no economics education,

No I haven't.

Quote:

and with the way you talk I doubt any qualifications on political science or statistics.

The way I talk? Try reading what you just wrote.

Btw I am up to par on these issues.

Adam D · 02-02-04, 05:25 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by USAcommitteeX
One poll shows Bush in the lead and you dismiss it, but another finds Bush trailing Kerry and your like "woo hoo!"

who are you talking to>?

Ryan · 02-02-04, 05:40 PM

Oh, everyone just shut up. This poll means very, VERY little at this point. As we've seen, a zillion things can and often do happen which can drastically alter public opinion. Considering that the election is still nine months away and the Dems don't even have a candidate yet, I hardly think this is a huge booster toward the Dems nor is it a major blow to Bush. What it does show, however, is that the smug Republicans who were predicting a sweeping victory for Bush just weeks ago are now having to face the very real fact that his job may be in jeopardy in November. Take this as a lesson kids. When you lie to people and sacrifice everything you believe to be true just so people will like you, you will likely experience unpleasant consequences.

Adam D · 02-02-04, 05:46 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by bfp
No I haven't.

You have.

http://www.dallasdancemusic.com/foru...ics#post896649

Quote:

The way I talk? Try reading what you just wrote.

Sorry you don't understand sentance structure.

Quote:

Btw I am up to par on these issues.

That's laughable.

Ryan · 02-02-04, 05:48 PM

Old and busted: Ryan loves bfp

New hotness: Adam D loves bfp

02-02-04, 04:17 PM	#1 (permalink)
The Jesus Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: Norman Posts: 718	Kerry leads Bush in new poll http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/...rez/index.html ATLANTA, Georgia (CNN) -- Sen. John Kerry, the front-runner among Democrats vying for their party's presidential nomination, leads President Bush in a head-to-head matchup, according to a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll released Monday. And Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina and retired Gen. Wesley Clark, two other Democrats in the field, come within a few points of beating Bush, according to the hypothetical match-ups in the poll, which also found a decline in Bush's approval numbers. The poll, based on interviews with 1,001 adult Americans, including 562 likely voters, was conducted in the days after the New Hampshire primary. The poll underscores both Kerry's momentum after his wins in New Hampshire and Iowa, and increased favorability among Democrats in general as they dominate political news with their primaries and steady criticism of Bush. The general election is slightly more than nine months away and Bush has yet to launch his campaign in earnest, meaning the poll numbers are all but certain to shift. When the 562 likely voters were asked for their choice from a Bush v. Kerry race, 53 percent of those picked Kerry, and 46 percent favored Bush. When that same group was asked to pick between Edwards and Bush, the numbers were 49 percent for Bush and 48 percent for Edwards. With a Bush/Clark face-off, Bush was favored by 50 percent of those surveyed and Clark, 47 percent. Howard Dean, the onetime front-runner in the Democratic field, had a poorer showing against Bush, 45 percent to 52 percent for the incumbent. The question of choice for president among likely voters had a sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The margin or error was different for other questions, as some questions were posed to likely voters, others to just Democrats and others to all adults surveyed. Kerry was the overwhelming choice of registered Democrats for the presidential nomination. Support for Kerry as the Democratic nominee stood at 49 percent, compared to 14 percent for Dean and 13 percent for Edwards. The other Democratic candidates were in the single digits. The poll showed Bush's job approval rating at 49 percent among all the adults surveyed, the first time since he became president that his job approval has dipped below 50 percent. A month ago his rating was at 60 percent, as he enjoyed a spike in approval after the capture of Saddam Hussein. A majority of those polled now say they disapprove of Bush's handing of the economy, foreign affairs, the situation in Iraq and health care. The poll also showed the nation evenly divided -- 49 percent to 49 percent -- on the question of whether it was worth going to war in Iraq, marking the first time approval of the war has dropped below 50 percent. However, a majority of those polled -- 54 percent -- said they do not believe Bush deliberately misled the country on whether Iraq had weapons of mass destruction, while 43 percent said they believe there was deception. Despite the apparent rising fortunes of Democrats, the poll showed Bush enjoyed advantages over his rivals in several areas. For example Bush was seen as a stronger leader than Kerry -- 53 percent to 39 percent --and, despite Kerry's military service in Vietnam, more patriotic than the senator from Massachusetts, 49 percent to 34 percent. And,on the question of Iraq, more Americans trusted Bush than Kerry, 50 percent to 44 percent.

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02-02-04, 04:48 PM	#4 (permalink)
bfp Join Date: Nov 2001 Location: McKidney Posts: 4,278	Statistics = blah blah. 1,001 people form New Hampshire were interviewed. A given series of numbers will always represent a changing assortment of people.

02-02-04, 05:23 PM	#10 (permalink)
USAcommitteeX Join Date: Jun 2003 Posts: 1,219	One poll shows Bush in the lead and you dismiss it, but another finds Bush trailing Kerry and your like "woo hoo!"

02-02-04, 05:40 PM	#13 (permalink)
Ryan Join Date: Aug 2002 Location: Austin, TX Posts: 3,783	Oh, everyone just shut up. This poll means very, VERY little at this point. As we've seen, a zillion things can and often do happen which can drastically alter public opinion. Considering that the election is still nine months away and the Dems don't even have a candidate yet, I hardly think this is a huge booster toward the Dems nor is it a major blow to Bush. What it does show, however, is that the smug Republicans who were predicting a sweeping victory for Bush just weeks ago are now having to face the very real fact that his job may be in jeopardy in November. Take this as a lesson kids. When you lie to people and sacrifice everything you believe to be true just so people will like you, you will likely experience unpleasant consequences.

02-02-04, 05:48 PM	#15 (permalink)
Ryan Join Date: Aug 2002 Location: Austin, TX Posts: 3,783	Old and busted: Ryan loves bfp New hotness: Adam D loves bfp